Modi and his sarkar least popular in South India, continue to hold sway over the rest
The Karnataka result is in line with the latest Ranking Cube survey, that reveals BJP and Modi’s losing popularity in the southern part of the country.
The high drama surrounding the Karnataka election last month has put the spotlight back on the BJP. Despite being the most popular, it has failed to become a dominant force in the state, falling prey to a classic tit for tat.
Ranking Cube’s recent pan India survey shows that while the saffron party and its commander are slipping in the South, they continue to have a stronghold in North and West India while making significant gains in the East.
For more than half of the people surveyed in North and West India, Modi is the most preferred PM choice for 2019. The Eastern and Southern parts of the country also prefer Modi but quite conservatively
Karnataka, Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu, Delhi and West Bengal were the top five states with maximum respondents. Together these big states constituted more than 50% of the respondent base
Congress leader Rahul Gandhi’s ratings seem to be plummeting with UP CM Yogi Adityanath getting an edge over the Gandhi Scion up North.
Delhi CM Arvind Kejriwal, on the other hand, is making up some lost ground. He is the second most preferred PM candidate after Modi in North, South and Western parts of the country.
Amongst the regional lot, Mamta Banerjee is the only leader who comes closest to being Modi’s competitor with a double-digit support.
That none of the regional leaders managed to make a mark poses a big question on the relevance of regional politics in the country. Are they really at the fag end of their dominance? It is a question that is worth pondering over.
West and South divided over ‘Acche Din’
While the promise of ‘Acche Din’ seems to have worked its charm over most people across all regions, particularly in the North, over 32% people in the South and 29% in West disagreed with it.
South India also seemed unimpressed with the BJP with almost 30% people deciding to not vote for it.
But the overall positive sentiment, as Ranking Cube found out, has resulted in BJP emerging as a unanimous choice for the 2019 general elections across all four regions
Breaking down the metrics further, Ranking Cube found that most people across all four regions were happy with Modi’s government’s reforms and policies.
Despite the long agonizing queues and cashless banks and ATM’s, over 60% survey takers across all four regions thought that the twin wars on black money served its purpose, even if partially.
This strong belief surprisingly persists despite claims by several eminent economists and opposition parties, that the country’s economy has taken a hit because of reforms like demonetization, GST etc
The BJP’s stance on Hinduism and Hindu Rashtra has been accompanied by unchecked violence against minority communities. This along with other communally polarizing issues like cow killings and love jihad have been a matter of much debate and uproar in the country
A whopping 94% respondents seem to concede that incidents like these are hurting the image of the government.
Despite these incidents and negative press, BJP seems to enjoy a comfortable support as is revealed by the Ranking Cube survey. Already, the party is ruling over 21 states, which is home to almost 3/4th of the country’s population.
Even Brand Modi seems to have prevailed, even if slightly diminished.
The 2019 general elections will be the ultimate decider, reinforcing the primacy of some while diminishing the stature of others.